See slide at http://1drv.ms/1fMYNS1
What are the problems with AEGR?
RE: Aegerion Pharmaceuticals,
Inc.
•DOJ Investigation into
AEGR sales and promotion practices
•No closure with recent FDA
warning
•AEGR IR says FDA and DOJ problems are
probably different
•Shareholder lawsuit:
"False
and misleading statements"
•Brazilian government investigation through
anti-corruption law
•If Brazil investigation yields evidence,
threat of additional SEC/DOJ action via Foreign Corrupt Practices act
•Straight-up sales practices? Only Brazil and the US are making meaningful contributions
to revenue, yet
precisely
these two are
subject to Government investigations
•Intense regulatory scrutiny may force
AEGR to pull back current sales practices, reducing revenue
•If sales flatten out or decrease, the
stock price has a very long way to fall.
•AEGR claims a USA patient population of
3,000, while the very scientists on their drug say there are only 300. Nobel
Prize winners also say there are only 300.
If
the scientists are correct, then AEGR's promotional attempt at more than 300
could constitute off-label marketing and could explain the current DOJ
investigation.
•European sales have yet to deliver any meaningful
revenue.
•“The non-U.S. patents directed to the
composition of matter of lomitapide issued in Canada, Israel, Japan, and
certain EU countries are scheduled to expire in 2016.” ~
AEGR SEC 10-K
•The sales team and effort behind rival
drug, Kynamro,
has recently been increased -- perhaps to take advantage of AEGR's regulatory
entanglements and the damage done to AEGR's reputation.
•AMGN, REGN, PFE, etc. are showing good
results with
a possible
new
blockbuster rival: the anti-PCSK9 drug
class.
•AEGR claims that its commercial team has
been managing drop out rates --
which ought to be subject to medical discipline, not commercial interests.
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